A normative comparison of threshold views through computer simulations

The threshold view says that a person forms an outright belief P if and only her credence for reaches certain threshold. Using computer simulations, I compare different versions of the to understand how they perform under time pressure in decision problems. results illuminate strengths weaknesses various cognitive strategies contexts. A performs well across diverse contexts is likely be cognitively flexible context-dependent fusion several existing theories. simulations also cast doubts on possibility both simple enough streamline our reasoning while allowing us form good action-guiding beliefs.